24021 Bobby Moffett (+110) vs 24022 Enrique Barzola (-130)
24022 Enrique Barzola -130
Who Has the Advantage?
Enrique Barzola (15-4-1) who fights out of Peru takes on Bobby Moffett (14-4) who represents the United States. Both fighters are coming off losses and look to rebound Saturday in Uruguay at UFC on ESPN+ 14. For Barzola this will be his eighth UFC fight and sports a (5-2) record inside the organization. Moffett on the other end is only (1-1) but also has a win on Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. Barzola is thirty years old and has a 70-inch reach and Moffett is twenty-nine years old with a 74-inch reach. Moffett will be the bigger fighter with the reach advantage. Barzola will have an advantage in terms of travel and home country advantage.
Enrique is a South American fighter and had a short
UFC Free Pick
At odds of -130 that gives Barzola and implied probability of 56.5%. He’s the more experienced fighter with better striking and cardio plus Barzola fighting close to home is an advantage if this match goes to the scorecards. I would list the favorite at odds of around -190 which is where it opened at. I give Barzola a 60%-65% chance to win this fight Saturday night. After the line move, I think we have value now on Barzola and I bet him at -130. I think it’s a bet worth taking.
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